Press Release|Public Finance
KBRA Affirms BBB Rating for Matching Fund Special Purpose Securitization Corporation Matching Fund Securitization Bonds
23 Jul 2026 | New York
KBRA affirms the long-term rating of BBB with a Stable Outlook for the Matching Fund Special Purpose Securitization Corporation Matching Fund Securitization Bonds.
Key Credit Considerations
Credit Positives
- The Bonds are provided adequate coverage by the Matching Fund Receipts of about 2.28x MADS as of FY 2026.
- The combination of the Act, the bankruptcy remoteness of the Corporation, the Sale Agreement, and the Indenture provide the Bonds with a strong legal framework that KBRA believes will substantially insulate the pledged Matching Fund Receipts and the Corporation from the credit risk of the Virgin Islands.
- The ABT of 3.0x prevents the Corporation from diluting the cushion provided by the pledged revenues.
- The U.S. Treasury is expected to deposit the full amount of budgeted Matching Fund Receipts in a restricted account with the trustee prior to the start of each fiscal year.
Credit Challenges
- Pledged receipts remain vulnerable to changing U.S. consumer preferences for rum and/or the failure of one or more of the rum producers.
- The pledged revenues are not broad and diversified. They consist of rum sales from only two rum companies based in the Virgin Islands to U.S. mainland consumers.
- Further, unlike the pledged Matching Fund Receipts, the ongoing payments to the rum companies funded from the Government’s Residual Certificate receipts are not bankruptcy remote, introducing the risk that payments could be interrupted or delayed.
Rating Sensitivities
For Upgrade
- Sustained stabilization or growth in rum sales resulting in improved MADS coverage.
For Downgrade
- Further deterioration in Matching Fund Receipts resulting in a further decline in MADS coverage.
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