Press Release|Sovereigns

KBRA Affirms AA/K1+ Ratings for the French Republic; Outlook Revised to Negative

13 Jun 2025   |   Dublin

Contacts

KBRA Europe (KBRA) affirms long-term issuer ratings of AA for the French Republic. KBRA also affirms the short-term ratings of K1+ of the sovereign. The Outlook on the long-term ratings has been been revised to Negative from Stable.

This credit rating is an unsolicited credit rating.
With Rated Entity or Related Third-Party ParticipationYes
With Access to Internal DocumentsNo
With Access to ManagementYes

KBRA’s affirmation of France’s ratings reflects the country’s large, wealthy, and diversified economy, its long-standing macroeconomic stability, and the strength of its institutional framework, all of which continue to support its macro-fiscal resilience. France’s central role in the European Union and the euro area, along with its permanent membership on the UN Security Council and its position within NATO, reinforce its global geopolitical influence. The Negative Outlook, however, highlights France’s structurally weak public finances, characterised by consistently high budget deficits and a rising debt burden that has proven difficult to reverse. These fiscal vulnerabilities are exacerbated by an increasingly fragmented political environment, which KBRA believes constrains the government’s capacity to implement effective fiscal consolidation and broader structural reforms. This political uncertainty also poses risks to the sustainability of reforms already enacted. Additionally, France remains exposed to external risks such as global trade disruptions, escalating geopolitical tensions, and protectionist policies.

To access ratings and relevant documents, click here.

Click here to view the report.

Methodologies

Disclosures

Further information on key credit considerations, sensitivity analyses that consider what factors can affect these credit ratings and how they could lead to an upgrade or a downgrade, and ESG factors (where they are a key driver behind the change to the credit rating or rating outlook) can be found in the full rating report referenced above.

A description of all substantially material sources that were used to prepare the credit rating and information on the methodology(ies) (inclusive of any material models and sensitivity analyses of the relevant key rating assumptions, as applicable) used in determining the credit rating is available in the Information Disclosure Form(s) located here.

Information on the meaning of each rating category can be located here.

Further disclosures relating to this rating action are available in the Information Disclosure Form(s) referenced above. Additional information regarding KBRA policies, methodologies, rating scales and disclosures are available at www.kbra.com.

There are certain issuers, entities or transactions rated by KBRA Europe or KBRA UK that may be or have relationships with Shareholders and/or Shareholder-Related Companies, as that term is defined in KBRA’s Shareholder and Shareholder Related Companies for KBRA Europe and KBRA UK Policy and Procedure. Relevant disclosure information may be found here.

About KBRA Europe

Kroll Bond Rating Agency, LLC (KBRA), one of the major credit rating agencies (CRA), is a full-service CRA registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as an NRSRO. Kroll Bond Rating Agency Europe Limited is registered as a CRA with the European Securities and Markets Authority. Kroll Bond Rating Agency UK Limited is registered as a CRA with the UK Financial Conduct Authority. In addition, KBRA is designated as a Designated Rating Organization (DRO) by the Ontario Securities Commission for issuers of asset-backed securities to file a short form prospectus or shelf prospectus. KBRA is also recognized as a Qualified Rating Agency by Taiwan’s Financial Supervisory Commission and is recognized by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners as a Credit Rating Provider (CRP) in the U.S. Kroll Bond Rating Agency Europe Limited is located at 2nd Floor, One George’s Quay Plaza, George’s Quay, Dublin 2, D02 E440, Ireland.

Doc ID: 1009908

CONNECT WITH KBRA
805 Third Avenue
29th Floor
New York, NY 10022
+1 (212) 702-0707
Contact Us

© 2010-2025 Kroll Bond Rating Agency, LLC. All Rights Reserved. Kroll Bond Rating Agency, LLC is not affiliated with Kroll Inc., Kroll Associates Inc., KrollOnTrack Inc., or their affiliated businesses.