KBRA Affirms AA Rating, Stable Outlook on the New York Power Authority (NYPA) Green Transmission Project Revenue Bonds
25 Sep 2025 | New York
KBRA affirms the long-term rating of AA on the New York Power Authority (NYPA) Green Transmission Project Revenue Bonds. The Outlook is Stable.
The rating reflects NYPA's successful completion of its initial separately financed transmission projects on-time and within budget, the broad, statewide ratepayer base, and the established and comprehensive cost recovery of the annual Separately Financed Project (SFP) Transmission Revenue Requirement pursuant to a Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) approved formula rate.
These credit positives are partially offset by the narrow pledge of SFP Transmission Revenues which, while collected on a broad geographic base, include only the regulated, recovered cost of designated SFP Transmission Projects, net of operating expenses, plus liquidity and reserves within the Transmission Bond Resolution. The SFP Transmission Projects are heavily debt financed, and leverage is high but should moderate over the longer term, as the SFP Transmission projects are placed into service.
Key Credit Considerations
The rating was affirmed because of the following key credit considerations:
Credit Positives
- Eligible SFP Transmission Project costs must be rate regulated (or be expected to become rate regulated), allowing for full cost recoverability and revenue predictability.
- SFP Transmission revenues are collected through NYISO, whose customers comprise a broad, statewide rate base of about 20 million ratepayers.
- SFP Transmission Projects are essential to New York State’s ambitious decarbonization strategy.
Credit Challenges
- SFP Transmission Projects are largely debt-financed and highly levered, although leverage should moderate longer-term, as the SFP projects are put into service.
- Pledged revenues consist solely of the net revenues of the SFP Transmission Projects plus available liquidity and reserves under the Transmission Bond Resolution.
Rating Sensitivities
For Upgrade
- A positive change in FERC’s methodology for transmission rates and cost recovery that brings financial coverage materially above budget and the rate covenant.
- Moderation in leverage as SFP Transmission Projects are completed and placed into service.
For Downgrade
- While not expected, an adverse change in FERC’s ATRR and Formula Rate methodology for SFP Transmission Projects that is not supportive of the 1.20x minimum DSCR.
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