KBRA Affirms A- Rating, Stable Outlook on MTA Hudson Rail Yards Trust Obligations
16 Jun 2026 | New York
KBRA affirms the long-term rating of A- for the Metropolitan Transportation Authority, NY Hudson Rail Yards Trust Obligations. The Outlook is Stable.
Key Credit Considerations
The rating was affirmed because of the following key credit considerations:
Credit Positives
- High profile development project with substantial underlying property value resulting in low LTV ratios based on KBRA’s stress scenarios.
- The Obligations’ flexible amortization schedule mitigates against the risk of potential delays in Project development.
- The MTA’s obligation to replenish the Interest Reserve Fund helps offset potential delays in the exercise of cure rights and the disposition of property following a ground lease payment default.
Credit Challenges
- Ground rent payment risk is concentrated at the applicable Ground Lease Tenant level. Although individual office, retail, hotel or residential space tenants are not the direct obligors for pledged ground rent, the Ground Lease Tenant's ability to make ground rent payments may depend on project-level leasing, occupancy and cash flow. This risk is partially mitigated by the seniority of the ground rent obligation, the direct payment mechanism to the Depositary, and MTA/Trustee cure and enforcement rights.
- The ultimate value of land and improvements in the development areas is subject to market volatility. Declines in the valuation of developed parcels could impact a tenant’s willingness to make ground rent payments.
Rating Sensitivities
For Upgrade
- Completion of the WRY platform and accelerated progress in development of the WRY parcels.
For Downgrade
- Significant delays in construction or failure to complete the WRY platform foundation and other developments on the WRY site.
- Deterioration in regional or national property values, contributing to significant curtailment of development activity or a decline in the value of developments in the ERY/WRY.
- Material deterioration of the MTA’s credit quality.
To access ratings and relevant documents, click here.