Press Release|Public Finance
KBRA Affirms Greater Orlando Aviation Authority Airport Facilities Revenue Bonds at AA+; Priority Subordinate Airport Facilities Revenue Bonds at AA; Outlook Stable
18 Nov 2025 | New York
KBRA affirms the long-term rating of AA+ on the Greater Orlando Aviation Authority Airport Facilities Revenue Bonds (Senior Lien). Concurrently, KBRA affirms the long-term rating of AA on the Authority's Priority Subordinated Airport Facilities Revenue Bonds. The Outlook on both liens is Stable.
Key Credit Considerations
The rating was assigned because of the following key credit considerations:
Credit Positives
- Strong enplanement growth, supported by MCO’s established tourism market and vibrant MSA.
- A predominantly origin and destination passenger base, with a highly diversified airline mix.
- Strong financial operations, highlighted by diverse revenues, ample liquidity and competitive airline costs.
Credit Challenges
- Additional debt tied to the FY 2025-2030 CIP may pressure the Authority’s debt burden and CPE.
- Vulnerability of the CIP – especially outer year projects – to inflationary pressures, potential constraints on external federal funding, and the declining real value of the $4.50 PFC.
- Predominantly discretionary, leisure-oriented nature of air service demand at MCO, though this risk has moderated, in our view, with continued service area growth and diversification.
Rating Sensitivities
For Upgrade
- Realization of forecasted enplanement growth with accompanying strong revenue performance and continued diversification of non-aviation funding streams.
For Downgrade
- Trend of diminished liquidity levels and/or debt metrics.
- Persistent, severe declines in passenger traffic that pressure operating performance and liquidity.
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