KBRA Affirms Ratings and Outlooks for Brotherhood Mutual
31 Jul 2025 | New York
KBRA affirms the A- insurance financial strength rating (IFSR) for Brotherhood Mutual Insurance Company (BMIC) and the BBB long term credit rating (LTCR) for the Surplus Notes. The outlook for all ratings remain Negative.
The rating reflects BMIC’s focused market strategy, geographic diversification with limited exposure concentrations, high customer retention rates, and a sound ERM framework. While the company reported surplus declines in 2022 and 2023, reversing a track record of consistent growth in surplus over the long-term, there was surplus growth in 2024 and year-to-date 2025. Brotherhood Mutual’s management team is highly experienced. KBRA believes BMIC has fundamentally sound underwriting and financial analytics with advanced technology for risk selection that the organization continues to evolve.
Balancing these strengths is BMIC’s above average investment risk, as characterized by a high level of equities to surplus, although the company has reduced its equity exposure in recent years. In 2022 and 2023, the company saw its underwriting leverage deteriorate, and its risk-adjusted capitalization declined, although these trends reversed in 2024 and year-to-date 2025. Surplus notes accounted for approximately 25% of year-end 2024 surplus but was improved from year-end 2023’s 31%. Pressure on underwriting leverage is somewhat offset by premium increases related to rising TIV and rate increases, while policy count remains flat. In addition, increased frequency from losses due to weather events and fire in recent years have negatively impacted net earnings and reversed the historical trend of favorable combined ratios with the last five-year underwriting results being unprofitable. However, recent results have been improving. KBRA views negatively the company’s increased retention in its property catastrophe reinsurance cover. KBRA notes that while BMIC no longer purchases an aggregate catastrophe treaty, management believes that its concentration management, quota share reinsurance, and a parametric severe convective storm (SCS) cover new for 2025 helps mitigate its exposure to more frequent and less severe weather events. KBRA also recognizes BMIC’s continued enhanced reserving practices by which it books reserves closer to the high end of the actuary’s range. However, prior year adverse development has been recorded in four of the last five years, including 2024.
Factors that could positively impact the rating include sustained growth in earnings, favorable risk adjusted capital and balance sheet leverage trends, and improved financial flexibility and liquidity. Factors that could negatively impact the rating include declining risk adjusted capitalization and material deterioration in balance sheet leverage unrelated to rate increases, unfavorable earnings trends, inability to obtain sufficiently robust reinsurance protection on an economic basis, material adverse reserve development, and loss of key members of the management team without suitable replacements.
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