Press Release|Public Finance

KBRA Assigns AA+ Rating, Stable Outlook to The City of New York’s General Obligation Bonds

22 Sep 2023   |   New York

Contacts

KBRA assigns a long-term rating of AA+ with a Stable Outlook to The City of New York’s General Obligation Bonds Fiscal 2024 Series B - Taxable Social Bonds, Subseries B-1 and Taxable Bonds, Subseries B-2. Concurrently, KBRA affirms the AA+ rating and Stable Outlook on the City’s outstanding General Obligation Bonds

Key Credit Considerations

The rating was assigned because of the following key credit considerations:

Credit Positives

  • The City’s role as international business and cultural center commensurate with its status as the nation’s largest city, and position as the center of a large metropolitan economy.
  • Institutionalized policies and procedures support financial stability.
  • Long range financial and capital planning; pension funded ratios and unfunded liabilities have trended positively, while annual debt service requirements continue to be maintained at below 15% of City tax revenues.

Credit Challenges

  • The economic base remains susceptible to financial services sector cycles, although financial sector reliance has moderated with increasing diversification of the City’s economic base.
  • The Financial Plan identifies out-year budget gaps, now exacerbated by the asylum seeker crisis, which must be closed.
  • Absent significant Federal and/or State funding to assist the City in handling the continuing influx of asylum seekers, further increases in projected outyear budget gaps are likely. The crisis may also pressure provision of services and have quality of life implications.
  • Coastline location and associated exposure to climate change related to rising sea levels and intensifying storms.

Rating Sensitivities

For Upgrade

  • Maintenance of the City’s sound fiscal posture, revenue resiliency and employment growth trend in the face of prevailing economic and social headwinds.
  • Adoption of guidelines for target size of reserves and conditions for withdrawal.
  • Reduction in out-year budget gaps.

For Downgrade

  • Secular economic decline and/or deterioration in a key economic segment, such as commercial real estate, of sufficient magnitude to challenge budgetary revenues.
  • Relaxation of, or less adherence to, well-established policies and procedures

To access rating and relevant documents, click here.

Methodologies

CONNECT WITH KBRA
805 Third Avenue
29th Floor
New York, NY 10022
+1 (212) 702-0707
Contact Us

© 2010-2023 Kroll Bond Rating Agency, LLC. All Rights Reserved. Kroll Bond Rating Agency, LLC is not affiliated with Kroll Inc., Kroll Associates Inc., KrollOnTrack Inc., or their affiliated businesses.