Press Release|Sovereigns
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KBRA Affirms A/K1 Ratings for Portuguese Republic; Outlook Revised to Positive

8 Aug 2025   |   Dublin

Contacts

KBRA Europe (KBRA) affirms the long-term issuer ratings of A for the Portuguese Republic. KBRA also affirms the short-term ratings of K1. The Outlook on the long-term ratings has been revised to Positive from Stable.

This credit rating is an unsolicited credit rating.
With Rated Entity or Related Third-Party ParticipationYes
With Access to Internal DocumentsNo
With Access to ManagementYes

KBRA’s affirmation of Portugal’s ratings reflects the country’s improved fiscal position, strong economic growth, enhanced resilience to shocks, and reduced macroeconomic imbalances. The Positive Outlook reflects expectations of continued fiscal progress, a declining debt trajectory, improving access to liquidity, and steady economic growth that appears, at this stage, relatively insulated from the impact of US tariffs. While political fragmentation presents a headwind, the risk of radical policy shifts remains contained, and Portugal is expected to continue effectively absorbing with European Union Recovery and Resilience Facility funds. The banking sector remains a source of stability, underpinned by improved asset quality and stronger fundamentals, further supporting the positive trajectory.

To access ratings and relevant documents, click here.

Click here to view the report.

Methodologies

Disclosures

Further information on key credit considerations, sensitivity analyses that consider what factors can affect these credit ratings and how they could lead to an upgrade or a downgrade, and ESG factors (where they are a key driver behind the change to the credit rating or rating outlook) can be found in the full rating report referenced above.

A description of all substantially material sources that were used to prepare the credit rating and information on the methodology(ies) (inclusive of any material models and sensitivity analyses of the relevant key rating assumptions, as applicable) used in determining the credit rating is available in the Information Disclosure Form(s) located here.

Information on the meaning of each rating category can be located here.

Further disclosures relating to this rating action are available in the Information Disclosure Form(s) referenced above. Additional information regarding KBRA policies, methodologies, rating scales and disclosures are available at www.kbra.com.

There are certain issuers, entities or transactions rated by KBRA Europe or KBRA UK that may be or have relationships with Shareholders and/or Shareholder-Related Companies, as that term is defined in KBRA’s Shareholder and Shareholder Related Companies for KBRA Europe and KBRA UK Policy and Procedure. Relevant disclosure information may be found here.

About KBRA Europe

Kroll Bond Rating Agency, LLC (KBRA), one of the major credit rating agencies (CRA), is a full-service CRA registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as an NRSRO. Kroll Bond Rating Agency Europe Limited is registered as a CRA with the European Securities and Markets Authority. Kroll Bond Rating Agency UK Limited is registered as a CRA with the UK Financial Conduct Authority. In addition, KBRA is designated as a Designated Rating Organization (DRO) by the Ontario Securities Commission for issuers of asset-backed securities to file a short form prospectus or shelf prospectus. KBRA is also recognized as a Qualified Rating Agency by Taiwan’s Financial Supervisory Commission and is recognized by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners as a Credit Rating Provider (CRP) in the U.S. Kroll Bond Rating Agency Europe Limited is located at 2nd Floor, One George’s Quay Plaza, George’s Quay, Dublin 2, D02 E440, Ireland.

Doc ID: 1010736