Press Release|CMBS

KBRA Downgrades Seven Ratings and Affirms All Other Ratings for MSBAM 2016-C31

14 Mar 2025   |   New York

Contacts

KBRA downgrades the ratings of seven classes of certificates and affirms all other outstanding ratings for MSBAM 2016-C31, a $776.1 million CMBS conduit transaction. The rating actions follow a surveillance review of the transaction, which has exhibited an increase in estimated losses since KBRA’s last ratings adjustments in March 2021. The transaction, however, has benefited from deleveraging due to principal paydowns and defeasance, particularly at the top of the capital structure.

As of the February 2025 remittance period, there are four specially serviced assets (7.3% of the pool), including one asset (3.9%) that is REO and one asset (0.5%) that is in foreclosure. KBRA identified 13 K-LOCs (34.1%), including the specially serviced assets. The K-LOCs include six top 10 assets (27.9%):

  • Vintage Park (3rd largest, 5.2% of the pool balance)
  • Harlem USA (4th largest, 5.2%, 23.7% estimated loss severity)
  • SpringHill Suites – Seattle (5th largest, 5.1%, 22.6%)
  • Simon Premium Outlets (6th largest, 4.6%, 17.1%)
  • One Stamford Forum (7th largest, 3.9%, 71.9%, REO)
  • International Square (8th largest, 3.9%)

The remaining seven K-LOCs, representing 6.2% of the pool balance, do not have estimated losses.

Excluding the K-LOCs with estimated losses, the transaction’s WA KLTV is 96.4%, compared to 106.0% at KBRA’s last ratings change in March 2021 and 101.7% at securitization. The KDSC is 1.55x, compared to 1.46x at KBRA’s last ratings change and 1.71x at securitization.

Details concerning the classes with rating changes are as follows:

  • Class C to A- (sf) from A (sf)
  • Class D to BB (sf) from BBB- (sf)
  • Class E to CCC (sf) from B (sf)
  • Class F to CC (sf) from CCC (sf)
  • Class X-D to BB (sf) from BBB- (sf)
  • Class X-E to CCC (sf) from B (sf)
  • Class X-F to CC (sf) from CCC (sf)

To access ratings and relevant documents, click here.

Click here to view the report.

Related Publication

Methodologies

Disclosures

Further information on key credit considerations, sensitivity analyses that consider what factors can affect these credit ratings and how they could lead to an upgrade or a downgrade, and ESG factors (where they are a key driver behind the change to the credit rating or rating outlook) can be found in the full rating report referenced above.

A description of all substantially material sources that were used to prepare the credit rating and information on the methodology(ies) (inclusive of any material models and sensitivity analyses of the relevant key rating assumptions, as applicable) used in determining the credit rating is available in the Information Disclosure Form(s) located here.

Information on the meaning of each rating category can be located here.

Further disclosures relating to this rating action are available in the Information Disclosure Form(s) referenced above. Additional information regarding KBRA policies, methodologies, rating scales and disclosures are available at www.kbra.com.

About KBRA

Kroll Bond Rating Agency, LLC (KBRA), one of the major credit rating agencies (CRA), is a full-service CRA registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as an NRSRO. Kroll Bond Rating Agency Europe Limited is registered as a CRA with the European Securities and Markets Authority. Kroll Bond Rating Agency UK Limited is registered as a CRA with the UK Financial Conduct Authority. In addition, KBRA is designated as a Designated Rating Organization (DRO) by the Ontario Securities Commission for issuers of asset-backed securities to file a short form prospectus or shelf prospectus. KBRA is also recognized as a Qualified Rating Agency by Taiwan’s Financial Supervisory Commission and is recognized by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners as a Credit Rating Provider (CRP) in the U.S.

Doc ID: 1008587

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