Press Release|Public Finance

KBRA Affirms AA+ Rating with Stable Outlook for Bi-State Development Agency of the Missouri-Illinois Metropolitan District Combined Lien Mass Transit Sales Tax Appropriation Bonds

22 Jun 2023   |   New York

Contacts

KBRA affirms the long-term rating of AA+ with a Stable Outlook for the Bi-State Development Agency of the Missouri-Illinois Metropolitan District Combined Lien Mass Transit Sales Tax Appropriation Bonds.

Key Credit Considerations

The rating was affirmed because of the following key credit considerations:

Credit Positives

  • TST receipts have demonstrated resilience and Combined Lien MADS coverage is sound.
  • Debt service requirements for Combined Lien Bonds is descending and no additional debt is presently authorized.
  • Narrow limitations on the use of pledged sales tax revenues for non-highway public transportation reduces appropriation risk.

Credit Challenges

  • Transit sales tax collections are subject to legislative actions by the State, the County, and the City.
  • The inherent volatility of the sales tax revenue pledge may be exacerbated by the declining population base evidenced in the jurisdictional boundaries of the City.
  • Significant declines in ridership experienced since at least 2015 have been exacerbated by the pandemic.

Rating Sensitivities

For Upgrade

  • Steady trend of growth in the economic resource base of the County and City that results in growing transit sales tax receipts.

For Downgrade

  • A decline in debt service coverage due to a decrease in transit sales tax revenues or an increase in debt service associated with the issuance of additional parity bonds.
  • Reduced essentiality of the System due to continued ridership declines.

To access rating and relevant documents, click here.

Methodologies

Disclosures

A description of all substantially material sources that were used to prepare the credit rating and information on the methodology(ies) (inclusive of any material models and sensitivity analyses of the relevant key rating assumptions, as applicable) used in determining the credit rating is available in the Information Disclosure Form(s) located here.

Information on the meaning of each rating category can be located here.

Further disclosures relating to this rating action are available in the Information Disclosure Form(s) referenced above. Additional information regarding KBRA policies, methodologies, rating scales and disclosures are available at www.kbra.com.

About KBRA

Kroll Bond Rating Agency, LLC (KBRA) is a full-service credit rating agency registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as an NRSRO. Kroll Bond Rating Agency Europe Limited is registered as a CRA with the European Securities and Markets Authority. Kroll Bond Rating Agency UK Limited is registered as a CRA with the UK Financial Conduct Authority. In addition, KBRA is designated as a designated rating organization by the Ontario Securities Commission for issuers of asset-backed securities to file a short form prospectus or shelf prospectus. KBRA is also recognized by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners as a Credit Rating Provider.

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